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TSLA
Consumer DiscretionaryTesla, Inc.
Auto Manufacturers
Next Earnings: Q4 2025
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
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TSLA EPS History & Predictions
Actual
Consensus
Wall Street
$0.46consensus
GPT-5.2
$0.41▼
Claude-opus
$0.36▼
Gemini 3 Pro
$0.26▼
Grok-4
$0.48▲
Claude-sonnet
$0.42▼
Q4 2025 Predictions
AI analyst forecasts for the upcoming earnings release. Click a model to see its reasoning.
GPT-5.2
openrouterEPS
$0.41
Revenue
$29.80B
Conf.
55%Click for details →
Claude-opus
openrouterEPS
$0.36
Revenue
$24.65B
Conf.
72%Click for details →
Gemini 3 Pro
openrouterEPS
$0.26
Revenue
$25.25B
Conf.
85%Click for details →
Grok-4
openrouterEPS
$0.48
Revenue
$26.50B
Conf.
85%Click for details →
Claude-sonnet
anthropicEPS
$0.42
Revenue
$26.50B
Conf.
65%Click for details →
Predictions Comparison
AI model predictions compared to Wall Street consensus
| Model | EPS Estimate | Revenue Estimate | vs Consensus | Confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GPT-5.2openrouter | $0.41 | $29.80B | -10.9% | 55% | |
Claude-opusopenrouter | $0.36 | $24.65B | -21.7% | 72% | |
Gemini 3 Proopenrouter | $0.26 | $25.25B | -43.5% | 85% | |
Grok-4openrouter | $0.48 | $26.50B | +4.3% | 85% | |
Claude-sonnetanthropic | $0.42 | $26.50B | -8.7% | 65% | |
| Wall Street Consensus | $0.46 | — | — | — |
Wall Street Consensus
Compare AI predictions against Wall Street analyst consensus
Consensus EPS
$0.56
Last Reported EPS
$0.43
Last Surprise
-23.75%
Report Date
10/23/2025
Quarterly Earnings Surprise Amount
Historical performance vs Wall Street consensus
| Fiscal Quarter End | Date Reported | Earnings Per Share* | Consensus EPS* Forecast | % Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 10/23/2025 | 0.43 | 0.56 | -23.75 |
| Q2 2025 | 7/24/2025 | 0.36 | 0.40 | -8.46 |
| Q1 2025 | 4/23/2025 | 0.13 | 0.41 | -69.27 |
| Q4 2024 | 1/30/2025 | 0.72 | 0.77 | -6.95 |
* EPS values are adjusted for stock splits
Financial Statements
Historical data with AI projections for Q4 2025
All values in Billions (USD) unless otherwise noted
AI Projections | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line Item | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | GPT-5.2Q4 2025 | Claude-opusQ4 2025 | Gemini 3 ProQ4 2025 | Grok-4Q4 2025 |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue | 25.71 | 19.34 | 22.50 | 28.09 | 29.80+6.1% | 24.65-12.3% | 25.25 | 26.50-5.7% |
| Cost Of Revenue | 21.53 | 16.18 | 18.62 | 23.04 | 24.38+5.8% | 20.95-9.1% | 21.10 | 21.59-6.3% |
| Cost & Gross Profit | ||||||||
| Gross Profit | 4.18 | 3.15 | 3.88 | 5.05 | 5.42+7.2% | 3.70-26.8% | 4.15 | 4.91-2.8% |
| Cost And Expenses | 24.12 | 18.94 | 21.57 | 26.47 | 28.18+6.5% | 24.05-9.1% | 24.55 | 24.82-6.2% |
| Operating Expenses | ||||||||
| Research And Development Expenses | 1.28 | 1.41 | 1.59 | 1.63 | 1.75+7.4% | 1.68+3.1% | 1.72 | 1.65+1.2% |
| General And Administrative Expenses | 1.31 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.58 |
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling General And Administrative Expenses | 1.31 | 1.25 | 1.37 | 1.56 | 2.05+31.2% | 1.42-9.1% | 1.73 | 1.58+1.2% |
| Other Expenses | 0.007 | 0.094 | 0 | 0.238 | 0.050-79.0% | 0-100.0% | 0 | 0.250+5.0% |
| Operating Expenses | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.96 | 3.43 | 3.80+10.8% | 3.10-9.6% | 3.45 | 3.23-5.8% |
| Interest Expense | 0.096 | 0.091 | 0.086 | 0.076 | 0.080+5.3% | 0.072-5.3% | 75.00 | 0.080+5.3% |
| Total Other Income Expenses Net | 1.18 | 0.190 | 0.626 | 0.335 | 0.300-10.4% | 0.450+34.3% | 400.00 | 0.070-79.1% |
| Income Tax Expense | 0.434 | 0.169 | 0.359 | 0.570 | 0.460-19.3% | 0.220-61.4% | 180.00 | 0.580+1.8% |
| Other Income/Expense | ||||||||
| Net Interest Income | 0.346 | 0.309 | 0.306 | 0.363 | 0.390+7.4% | 0.378+4.1% | 380.00 | 0.370+1.9% |
| Interest Income | 0.442 | 0.400 | 0.392 | 0.439 | 0.470+7.1% | 0.450+2.5% | 455.00 | 0.450+2.5% |
| Non Operating Income Excluding Interest | -1.28 | -0.281 | -0.712 | -0.411 | -0.140+65.9% | 0.072+117.5% | 20.00 | -0.300+27.0% |
| Other Adjustments To Net Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net Income & EPS | ||||||||
| Operating Income | 1.58 | 0.399 | 0.923 | 1.62 | 1.62-0.2% | 0.600-63.1% | 700.00 | 1.68+3.4% |
| Income Before Tax | 2.77 | 0.589 | 1.55 | 1.96 | 1.92-2.0% | 1.05-46.4% | 1.10 | 2.05+4.6% |
| Net Income From Continuing Operations | 2.33 | 0.420 | 1.19 | 1.39 | 1.46+5.1% | 0.830-40.2% | 920.00 | 1.49+7.3% |
| Net Income From Discontinued Operations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net Income | 2.31 | 0.409 | 1.17 | 1.37 | 1.46+6.3% | 0.810-41.0% | 920.00 | 1.47+7.1% |
| Net Income Deductions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bottom Line Net Income | 2.31 | 0.409 | 1.17 | 1.37 | 1.46+6.3% | 0.810-41.0% | 920.00 | 1.47+7.1% |
| Eps | $0.7202 | $0.1271 | $0.3636 | $0.4255 | $0.4500+5.8% | $0.2500-41.2% | $0.2600-38.9% | $0.4800+12.8% |
| Eps Diluted | 0.66 | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.41+5.3% | 0.36-7.6% | 0.26-33.2% | 0.44+13.0% |
| Other | ||||||||
| Filing Date | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — | — | — |
| Fiscal Year | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — | — | — |
| Depreciation And Amortization | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.63 | 1.70+4.6% | 1.58-2.8% | 1.68 | 1.60-1.5% |
| Ebitda | 4.36 | 2.13 | 3.07 | 3.66 | 3.45-5.7% | 2.70-26.2% | 2.78 | 3.68+0.5% |
| Ebit | 2.86 | 0.680 | 1.64 | 2.04 | 1.75-14.0% | 1.12-44.9% | 1.10 | 2.08+2.2% |
| Weighted Average Shs Out | 3,213,000,000 | 3,218,000,000 | 3,223,000,000 | 3,227,000,000 | 3,240,000,000+0.4% | 3,240,000,000+0.4% | 3.24 | 3,230,000,000+0.1% |
| Weighted Average Shs Out Dil | 3,517,000,000 | 3,521,000,000 | 3,519,000,000 | 3,526,000,000 | 3,550,000,000+0.7% | 2,250,000,000-36.2% | 3.54 | 3,530,000,000+0.1% |